Designing scenarios for sectors of the economy should be an exercise in establishing fundamentals, scientifically known with the actuality and development of public policies in force and the business action resulting from these policies. This should be the reflection on the analysis and strategies involving the growing bioenergy industry in the broader concept of this segment.

In the various reflections on this matter, regardless of the author, it is based that the bioenergy industry in Brazil has a fundamental role in the transition to a more sustainable economy and in the reduction of dependence on fossil energy sources. With its vast territorial extension, rich biodiversity and advanced agricultural technology in the sustainable management of raw materials, the country has enormous potential to consolidate itself as a world leader in the production and use of bioenergy.

However, these promising scenarios still face challenges that need to be overcome in order to reach their full potential. The successful trajectory of this sectoral evolution is anchored in the permanent improvement of business in the search for optimization and the most adequate and sustainable use of available natural resources:

There is territorial availability to be cultivated on competitive economic bases for sugarcane without aggression to any protected biome, without deforestation and with the permanent genetic search for varieties that adapt to the best cultivation from the point of view of harmful infestations of animal origin and that better respond to climatic adversities that subtract fine productivity, both agricultural and industrial;

The permanent updating of the use of state-of-the-art agricultural mechanization that is carried out without harmfully eroding the soil;

The rationalization of the use of fertirrigation, whether with the proper use of chemical fertilizers and the use of industrial waste in a circular chain of use of these wastes that are transformed into natural inputs, avoiding their summary disposal in soil and water courses;

The maintenance, by private initiative, of important areas of legal reserve of the Atlantic Forest, the recovery of native forests, the vegetation repopulation of riparian forests and the maintenance and management of extensive areas of Private Natural Heritage Reserves, relatively expressive, within the universe agricultural busy with sugar cane;

Establishment of a contingent, around one million , of collaborators in the field, ensuring income and support for their families;

Simultaneously, this consolidated evolution is associated with the improvement of industrial processes for transforming raw materials into various sustainable end products:

Brazil, as the world's second largest producer of the biofuel ethanol and with the possibility of significant growth in this production, asserts itself as the most efficient producer of this fuel;

The supply of electric energy from the biomass of sugarcane straw and bagasse, even at the current level of 19.1% of the national energy supply, envisions relevant and strategic growth space, when considering the environmental limitations current ones of increasing the constitution of lakes to increase the supply of energy from hydroelectric plants;

The recent route of producing biomethane from biogas through the use of industrial residues, filter cake and vinasse, is configured as an important bias for the supply of gas for industry and for the replacement of diesel oil in urban mobility;

Ethanol, as an alternative for supplying aviation fuel, and gas, as a sustainable and suitable fuel for maritime navigation, in addition to offering electricity from sugarcane biomass, are at the top of the list of viable alternatives with a vast market for these fuels;

This currently makes Brazil one of the main producers of bioenergy in the world, with one of the largest global productions of ethanol from sugarcane, with a sugar-energy sector well established in the concept of sustainability. In addition, the production of biodiesel from vegetable oils has also gained strength, driven by Brazilian legislation that determines the mandatory addition of biodiesel to fossil diesel, the mandatory mixture of anhydrous ethanol to gasoline in the proportion of 27% and efficiency management production units, in terms of reducing carbon dioxide emissions, through the National Biofuels Policy.

The production and supply of these bioenergy alternatives, to which biofuel is prominently inserted, has to be transversely connected with the production of vehicles to be used in urban mobility and perfect optimizers of the use of biofuel, whether in the simultaneous motorization of electric vehicles battery, hybrid vehicles, whether in future motorization using hydrogen directly captured from ethanol through conversion through fuel cells.

As can be seen, this real scenario brings together energy efficiency with the sustainability of our bioenergy sector with a low carbon footprint, interconnecting with other important industrial chains and maintaining the important and significant social appeal of employability, very relevant for Brazil, positioning us in a inclusive in Future Scenarios:

Hydrated and Anhydrous Ethanol: Resumption of the development and expansion of the hydrous and anhydrous ethanol offer based on the nationalization of its consumption in all states, with the corresponding increase in the offer of decarbonization credits and the consequent subtraction of carbon dioxide emissions in the atmosphere.

Expansion of Cellulosic Ethanol: The production of ethanol from cellulosic biomass, such as harvest residues, straw and bagasse, represents a promising scenario for the industry. Advances in biomass conversion technologies and investments in research could make cellulosic ethanol a large-scale commercial reality, increasing the sector's efficiency.

Advanced Biofuels: The development of advanced biofuels, such as biokerosene for aviation and bioethanol for use in high-performance engines, can further boost the bioenergy industry. Partnerships between the public and private sectors can be essential to stimulate research and development of these technologies.

Biomethane and Green Hydrogen: The use of biogas and its purification to produce biomethane, as well as the production of green hydrogen from renewable sources, represent significant opportunities to diversify the country's energy matrix. Investments in infrastructure and adequate regulation will be essential to make these alternatives viable.

It becomes necessary, then, to overcome the challenges and obstacles that prevent stability in the regulatory environment and the adoption of public policies adhering to these positive sectoral scenarios in a time horizon compatible with the consolidation of the necessary investments.

Public Policies: Clear and stable government policies are needed to encourage investments in the sector, regulatory frameworks and adequate incentives, when necessary.

Sustainability: Ensuring the sustainability of bioenergy production is essential to avoid negative impacts on the environment. Public policies must be rigorously based on the “life cycle” concept, where carbon dioxide emissions are measured from the source of energy, fuel to final use.